2.20 Foreign exchange gold crude oil real-time market trend guidance analysis, gold crude oil operation suggestions

Monday's gold market trend analysis:

Last Friday (February 17), the international gold price continued to fall, and hit a new low since late December last year to $1,818.69/ounce, due to investors worried that the Federal Reserve will further raise interest rates after a series of strong economic data released. Federal Reserve officials even said that February interest rate hikes were not enough. Data released this week showing stronger US retail sales and high consumer prices seem to be driving the expectations revaluation market that the Federal Reserve will become more hawkish, which is very bad for gold. Against this background, real interest rates have rebounded, so non-yielding asset gold has been falling. Several Federal Reserve officials said this week that monetary policy needs to remain tight in order to bring inflation down to the Fed's 2% target. Two Federal Reserve officials said on Thursday that the central bank should have raised interest rates more sharply earlier this month.

Gold has shown weakness this week. There is no major level of stabilization, and the rally is short-lived, which is a manifestation of weakness. The washing of gold prices, due to the pull up, but the lack of stabilization, has caused the trend of market washing. Gold continued to be under pressure after falling below the previous low oscillation range on the daily trend. The short-cycle moving average ran weakly. After touching the support belt near the previous daily line 1820, it rebounded slightly. Pay attention to how strong the rebound at this position is on the daily line. On the daily trend, the price fell below the previous low oscillation range. It is currently under pressure in the 1840 area. After consecutive declines, there are signs of a slight stabilization. There may be some room for rebound repair in the short-term trend.

Monday Gold Operation Strategy:

1. It is recommended to rebound 1850-1853 first-line short in batches, stop 1856, and look at 1840-35 first-line under the target;

2. It is recommended to step back on the 1833-1830 line to do long in batches, stop loss 1827, and target the 1845-48 line;

Monday's crude oil market trend analysis:

Crude oil news analysis: International oil prices fell to a new low of more than a week on Friday (February 17), as strong US economic data intensified concerns that the Federal Reserve will further tighten monetary policy to tackle inflation, a move that may hit fuel demand. Saudi Arabia's oil minister said that although there are no shortage of positive signals, OPEC + will adhere to the 2 million barrels/day production cut policy this year. Data released overnight showed that the US producer price index rebounded 0.7% month-on-month in January. Meanwhile, the number of US initial jobless claims fell to 194,000 in the latest week. Money markets now expect the federal funds rate to rise above 5% in May, and there will be no rate cut this year. Strong US data has heightened concerns about the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and prompted US Treasury yields to rise, which weighed on oil and other commodity prices. US crude oil inventories rose to a 17-month high, indicating that demand is weakening, causing prices to fall. Crude oil prices also fell as PPI data and a stronger dollar triggered a stock market sell-off. Overall, the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike expectations limit oil price gains, but oil prices may be more affected by geopolitical factors in the coming week. Russia launched a missile attack on the whole of Ukraine, hoping to capture Bahmut by April. Geopolitical tensions have increased; short-term oil prices remain volatile.

Monday crude oil operation recommendations:

1. It is recommended to rebound 77.5-77 short, stop loss 78.1, and look at the 76.5-76 line under the target;

2, it is recommended to step back 75.3-75 do more, stop loss 74.7, the goal to see 76.5-77 line;