My summary of several foreign exchange trading instruments

I am still working on the stock, but the position is already very light. Most investors may have been trapped, disappointed, and left, and so am I. However, based on my personal experience, as long as the stock market is still there, it will still rise. If there is no market and it does not attract investors, the market will be completely dead. From top to bottom, it is clear that this market cannot afford to die. Many investors' money is deposited in it. A large number of enterprises are waiting to make money, and various securities companies and funds have to eat. Therefore, this market will still exist. Otherwise, the government will not repeatedly rescue the market. In the future, the market will struggle repeatedly, and there will be certain opportunities.

However, the market is changing, and the risks will become greater and greater. The main reason is not because of the economic downturn. China's stock market is basically unrelated to the good or bad of the economy. Otherwise, why did the economy boom and the stock market bear for 6 years from 2008 to 2014? I think the change in the trend of stock market operation lies in the expansion of the Great Leap Forward: First, major shareholders reduced their holdings, which was to pay for the stock reform in 2006. Second, a large number of new shares were issued. Before 2008, although the number of stocks was also quite large, there were not many outstanding shares. For hundreds of millions of large-cap stocks, the outstanding shares were often only tens of millions. At that time, there was more money and less shares, so there was a wave of food market every year, and a wave of big market in Now the landscape has completely changed, so stocks will become more and more elusive in the future, and policy risks will far outweigh technical risks. In short, friends who are still in stocks should not be completely discouraged, and the stock market will still have certain opportunities. Of course, don't hold too high expectations. To paraphrase a saying, it is to be cautious and cautious.

Now let's talk about the foreign exchange market.

I don't have a specific example of getting rich. I just want to talk about my views on the trends of several specific varieties that I have been familiar with over the past few years.

1. The US dollar: The US dollar is the ruler of all currencies. Its essence is a share foreign exchange. The rise and fall are not determined by itself, but by other currencies. According to its weight, the controlling shareholder should be the euro, so the trend of the US dollar is basically the opposite of the euro. When you make a euro list, if you are not sure, look at the US dollar index to increase your judgment. The United States has entered the interest rate hike channel, and the US dollar has begun to strengthen. It is an indisputable fact. Correspondingly, the long-term weakening of the euro is inevitable.

2. The euro, among all currency pairs, the euro is equivalent to a super large-cap stock. Because the euro area is relatively large, it involves the interests of many countries and various parties. The main force is difficult to control, and the information is relatively transparent. Compared with other currencies, the trend is atmospheric and more regular, so the technical indicators are more reliable. Whether it is a trend market or a shock market, the euro rarely goes unilateral (I mean a small level of unilateral), usually one step and three turns back. Measured by points, it is: in an upward trend, it rises by a few hundred points or so, it needs to fall by a hundred points, then it rises... and then falls, and the downward trend is reversed. Measured by time, it is up for 1-2 days, down for 1-2 days, and then up again. Falling is the same, it is tortuous and circling, and the process is more difficult, so you have to be patient with the euro 。------ What I mean by saying these words is to tell everyone that even if the US dollar index strengthens, who expects the euro to rise and fall a thousand points or more in a short period of time, like the Australian dollar and the Canadian dollar, it is unlikely and undesirable.

3. Pound sterling, among all currency pairs, the pound can be regarded as a man. It rises and falls more manly. It will not be like the euro. When the pound rises, it often pulls a few hundred points in one breath, takes a breath, and pulls a few hundred points again. It also falls, and it will never stop until it reaches the target. In terms of the main trading skills, the pound has two characteristics: First, the daily line basically has upper and lower shadows (when it is low and high, it will also deform), so if you find that the daily line is bare, you can always try to empty it. The second is often to do the arc top arc bottom deception line -------- that is to do a standard arc bottom, often waterfall, do the arc top, will unexpectedly pull a big sun, in 2015, the pound cheated everyone many times.

4. Australian Dollar New Zealand Dollar: A pair of fellow sufferers who follow suit. If the pound is a man, then the Ao Niu brothers are at best a pair of stunned young men, who rise up one tendon, rise in place in one step, and then endlessly consolidate. When you have no patience, you will plummet. In Ao Niu, the girl rises and falls more fiercely, and the consolidation lasts longer. Anyway, you have to be careful with this pair of brothers. It is very uncomfortable to set a list. Ao Niu generally has a wave of 400-500 hundred points.

5. Gold: It is very risky to do gold, so I rarely do gold. Also because I do less, I don't know much about it technically. Gold gives me two experiences: First, gold either does not rise, once it rises, it will rise until the bears pay the gun. Once it starts to fall, it will fall to the long end of the position, so you can't easily bottom fishing and touch the top. If you do it the other way around, you have to endure pain to stop the loss. Second, after the rally stops, there will be two consecutive 4h negative lines at the high level, and nine times out of ten it will be adjusted back. During consolidation, once there is a bit of a chicken flying and a dog jumping, gold will take advantage of it.

The above is the general situation.foreign exchange marketThe situation is changing rapidly and cannot be generalized. Another point to add is that foreign exchange has never had a bottom of the arc or a top of the arc. If you don't believe me, you can just open any variety and see, so it is unreliable to use the arc to determine the timing of opening an order.